Thursday, January 8, 2009

Bad Beat / Good Beat / Dumb Beat. My Night

Drove up to UW85's for the monthly tournament. btw, it takes me 70 minutes to get there, and tonight was worse b/c of the torrential rain. that's cool b/c i play goot and normally make deep runs at it.

tonight i started out in the BB with 52k stack and 100/200 blinds. nothing big happens in the first round. then this happens the second time i'm in the bb. blinds are 200/400. i have about 49k and the villain has me well covered. he's loose/passive and tends to trap with a monster. btw, last month, after a minraise to 1000 and a jojo shove to 11k, the villain snap called on the button with QJs. so that's what i'm dealing with.

6handed, there are 4 limpers to me in the bb. i have Ah10c which is plenty good enough, and i plan to raise it. there's 1600 in the pot and i'm liable to be in bad position, so i make it 3k. i get called by loose villain in the co.

flop comes 8h 9h Jh. the pot is 7200. my hand is golden here, especially if i can get it in soon. i raise 4k, which i hope may look weak and induce a raise. last month i saw him flat call raises with 2 pair more than once, and figure him to only raise with hands like AJ, QQ, or maybe a set.

he raises to 12k. i have 'bout 41k behind and so i'm happy. this is basically teh perfect spot to get it in with some fold equity and a million outs.

he thinks for maybe 30 seconds and calls with QTo. i brick off and good night.

anyhow, whatever, it's not a bad beat (that's for the bad beat cops you know you're out there). but it's a cooooold one, b/c there's simply no way i do anything but shove there, and he has the worst possible hand for me. i'm 42% against top set, 55% against AJ, 53% against QQ, and blurg 35% against this hand.

so i'm insta-out, i get on the highway and it's the great flood on the highway. when i go over 55 my car threatens to hydroplane, so i'm kinda steaming and plotting my next move. a slight detour takes me to snoqualmie and the new card room there. i have $475 in me pocket (plan ahead yo!) to play the 300 buyin 2/5 game.

i come in utg +2 (b/c you don't need to post as a new player) and fold my way around to the button. there are 3 limpers to me and i limp with 5h 7h. flop comes 6h 4h 3c omg and w00t. better still the first guy to act (stack right at 300 with me) who has played 3/4 hands so far bets 20. a short stack with 100 calls. i make it $55 b/c i'm sneaky like that (omg the smaller raise is more likely to get action!). first to act shoves for $300 and i'm like omg. short stack puts in his hundred and i have my chips in like super fast yo.

first to act says "someone's got a draw and it aint me" which i don't like much when the board pairs. i ask if he's got a set and he shakes his head like i'm crazy. so booyah no flush comes (short stack shows ace-rag of hearts) and i rake the $650 pot.

Finally, my dumb beat. i literally fold every hand for an hour, then make it 20 to go utg with QQ. button calls. flop comes QQ5 with two hearts. i say to my self "self...w00t." but i keep it inside b/c i'm tricky like that. i check and call $30. maybe i shoulda just bet, but what can i get him to call with on more than one street? i dont' know this guy and prefer to see if i can get him to spazz off. btw, he's shortish with about $200. so the pot is $100 and effective stack is now 150.

turn is the :6h bringing the flush. again, now, i have to figure out how to get his stack. he obv doesn't have a Q. one pair hands no longer pay me off, i guess, with the scare card out there. he could have a boat which would be nice or the flush which would prolly stack off at this point. but most likely he has nothing much. i check again he bets $30 again which of course is superpolarizing. i think now he can't have anything but a flopped underboat or nothing at all. so what do i do? i raise him to $75 like a tard and he folds.

now, as if that wasn't dumb enough, i muck it. also, there's an hourly high hand payout of $200, only 3 tables are running and so quads are golden.

w/e in any event i cash out up $400, am over my uw85 tournytilt (sorta, till now when i think about it), and mosie on home. to type.

werd. also, i'm putting this on my blog b/c GD it why else have a freakin' blog?

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